Followers of the Magpies are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's squad as an inconsistent companion. At their brilliant best, they prove to be the ultimate life of the party, producing breathtaking exhibitions. However, at other times, once-dependable figures like their midfield linchpin and his teammates utterly fail to appear.
Compounding these problems is a late-game game management suffused by a worrying element of panic. Ahead of their Boxing Day to Old Trafford, the numbers reveal a troubling story: the team has dropped 13 precious Premier League leverage from winning situations this season and are without a clean sheet in 10 straight games in every tournament. Securing three points at their famous stadium would be only their second-ever league success on the road this season.
Conversely, a loss has only come on one occasion in their previous 6 league encounters, and despite occupying a seemingly lowly eleventh position, they remain a mere 6 points behind the coveted top four. Add in an impending two-part League Cup last-four clash against Manchester City and a decent prospect of moving on to the Champions League knockout phase, and it is simpler to see the manager's guarded hope.
“It's not only about problems,” remarked the team's manager. “We have positives as well. My glass is very much half full at present. I know others may hold a opposing take, but in my view we are making progress.”
The challenge is: will this squad recreate – or perhaps eclipse – the achievements of the previous campaign's cup glory and fifth-place finish? Juggling a packed calendar makes this difficult.
The resulting heavy-leggedness might account for the inability to maintain a brilliant opening 45-minute performance against their London rivals, ultimately squandering a two-goal lead to tie the game. Similarly, it is possibly the culprit for a subdued display in a damaging defeat to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the team seemed lethargic just days after a grueling Champions League away day.
While on-field instruction is undoubtedly the manager's strength, the relentless grind of two games a week football has radically limited crucial practice sessions. This slows the squad's tactical adjustment to playing with summer signing their number nine up front, instead of the now departed their former star. Although hugely talented, the German forward does not possess the same searing breakaway speed or intense pressing.
Indeed, the team's previously effective high press has at times failed. Injuries to vital engine the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while expensive arrivals the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have had difficulties settling since their combined £90m+ moves.
While a change to a three-man defense might theoretically assist the cause, a severe backline injury list renders that unlikely. First-choice defenders will be unavailable for the next crucial matches, straining the team's resilience.
At their energetic best, they appear virtually unstoppable. The catch is sustaining that fervor for the entire match. The typical alternative approach of dropping deep into a passive counter-attacking shape has at times been counterproductive.
“The Chelsea game descended into chaotic at two-all,” conceded the coach. “But we were trying to win. We always try to win.”
What appears called for is a balanced approach – involving better possession retention, a midfield capable of controlling the pace, and a sensible readiness to sometimes settle for a draw. However, a desire to challenge on every fronts is testing thin squad numbers to their breaking point.
It may sound unthinkable to some, but a more selective strategy in the domestic cups earlier could have alleviated the present schedule congestion. With vital European & Premier League matches on the agenda, the necessity to carefully choose focus areas is becoming increasingly clear.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the scale of the challenge remaining. “Being involved a club of this size, the pressures are immense. Every moment's crucial. There is progress to be made in the league. We're in the League Cup last four, we aim to progress in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have plenty of improvement to do to transform into the consistently winning team we envision. Our capacity to string together winning runs has deserted us so far.
“The task is to reach that standard we know we're able to reach. My feeling is that the confidence we can achieve it is returning. But nowadays we have to prove it. It's not all doom and gloom right now, but the coming period will decide much.”
A seasoned gaming analyst with over a decade of experience in casino entertainment and slot machine technology.